'

American Public Opinion Landscape on International Affairs

Понравилась презентация – покажи это...





Слайд 0

Int e r national A f f a ir s: A m e ric an Public Opinion La nds cape NOVEMBER 2015


Слайд 1

TA B L E O F C O N T ENTS Slide Current Political Landscape 3 Russia 8 ISIS 13 Iran 18 Refugee Crisis 24 PAGE 2


Слайд 2

Current Political Lands cape


Слайд 3

F O R E I G N P O L I C Y I S S U E S N O T T H E M O S T I M P O R TA N T P R O B L E M S FA C I N G T H E U . S . Oct 2015 Oct 2015 Dissatisfaction with government 16% Terrorism 3% Economy in general 13% Foreign policy/ foreign aid / focus overseas 3% Immigration/Illegal aliens 8% National security 2% Unemployment/jobs 8% International issues, problems 2% Guns/Gun control 7% Situation in Iraq/ISIS 2% Healthcare 6% Wars/War (nonspecific)/Fear or war 2% Ethics/Moral/Religious decline 5% Middle East conflict 2% Federal budget deficit/Federal debt 5% Lack of military defense 2% Crime/Violence 5% Education 4% Source: Gallup Poll, October 7-11, 2015 *Non-Foreign policy issues below 4% not shown PAGE 4


Слайд 4

I N W H AT WA S A S T R O NG S U I T I N H I S 1 ST T E R M , A M E R ICAN S N O W D I S A P P R O V E O F O B A M A’ S J O B P E R F O R M A N C E O N F O R E I G N POLICY Job Approval on Foreign Policy Disapprove 49.4% Job Approval on Foreign Policy worse than Economy and Health Care Approval % Overall Approval The Economy Source: Pollster.com Aggregate data, Latest Poll as of October 28, 2015 45% Healthcare Approve 35.3% 45% 43% Foreign Policy 40% PAGE 5


Слайд 5

A M A J O RIT Y O F A M E R I CANS D I S AP PROV E O F T H E WAY B A R A C K O B A M A I S H A N D L I N G V A R I O U S I N T E R N AT I O N A L I S S U E S Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling – the situation in Iran, foreign affairs, terrorism? 58% 55% 55% Disapprove Approve 33% 42% 41% The situation in Iran Foreign affairs Terrorism Source: FOX News Poll, 9/20-22,2015 – CNN Poll, 9/4-8 – Gallup Poll, 8/5-9 PAGE 6


Слайд 6

P L U R AL ITY O F A M E R IC ANS T H I N K T H E U N I TE D S TATES S H O ULD TA K E A L E S S A C T I VE R O L E I N S O LV ING T H E W O R LD’ S P R O B LE MS Don’t know, 2% Do you think the United States should take a more or less active role solving the world’s problems, or is its current role about right? A less active role, 38% A more active role, 27% Its current role is about right, 33% Source: AP/NORC Poll, June 25 – July 7, 2015 PAGE 7


Слайд 7

RUSSIA


Слайд 8

S E V E N I N T E N A M E R IC ANS H AV E A N U N FAVOR ABL E O P I N ION O F R U S S IA Next, I’d like your overall opinion of some foreign countries. What is your overall opinion of [RUSSIA]? Is it very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? 66% 59% 53% 52% 46% 41% 35% 50% 50% 42% 45% 40% 35% 33% 51% 47% 44% 44% 34% 24% Nov-­‐14 Jul-­‐14 Nov-­‐13 Mar-­‐14 Jul-­‐13 Mar-­‐13 Jul-­‐12 Nov-­‐12 Mar-­‐12 Jul-­‐11 Nov-­‐11 Nov-­‐10 Mar-­‐11 Jul-­‐10 Nov-­‐09 Mar-­‐10 Jul-­‐09 Mar-­‐09 Jul-­‐08 Nov-­‐08 Mar-­‐08 Jul-­‐07 Nov-­‐07 Nov-­‐06 Mar-­‐07 Jul-­‐06 Nov-­‐05 Mar-­‐06 Jul-­‐05 Jul-­‐04 Mar-­‐04 Jul-­‐03 Nov-­‐03 Nov-­‐02 Source: Gallup Poll, February 8-11, 2015 Mar-­‐03 26% Jul-­‐02 Nov-­‐01 Mar-­‐02 Jul-­‐01 Mar-­‐01 27% Nov-­‐00 53% 48% 41% 42% 70% 60% 58% 52% Mar-­‐05 40% 61% Nov-­‐04 53% 63% PAGE 9


Слайд 9

R U S S I A N O W S E E N A S U N I T E D S T AT E S ’ G R E AT E S T E N E M Y 38% What one country anywhere in the world do you consider to be the United States’ greatest enemy today? [OPEN END] 32% 31% 26% 22% 22% 25% 25% 23% 21% 20% 22% 22% 18% 14% 14% 14% 16% 18% 15% 16% 16% 10% 10% 10% 11% 7% 9% 5% 6% 2% 2% Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Source: Gallup Poll, February 8-11, 2015 Jan-05 1% Jan-06 2% 9% 3% 2% 15% North Korea 12% China 9% 8% 16% 8% Russia Iran Iraq 7% 2% Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 PAGE 10


Слайд 10

S E V E N I N T E N A M E R IC ANS H AV E A N U N FAVOR ABL E O P I N ION O F V L A D I MIR P U T I N Next, we’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people – or if you have never heard about them. How about [Vladimir Putin]? 72% Unfavorable Favorable 13% Note: Never heard of and No opinion not shown Source: NBC News / WSJ Survey, October 15-18, 2015 PAGE 11


Слайд 11

A VA S T M A J O RI TY O F A M E R I CANS P E R CEI VE R U S SIA A S A V E R Y O R M O D E R AT E LY S E R I O U S T H R E AT T O T H E U N I T E D S T AT E S Would you say that the following [RUSSIA] represent a very serious threat to the United States, a moderately serious threat, just a slight threat, or no threat at all? No threat at all, Just a slight 7% threat, 11% Moderately serious threat, 33% Source: CNN Poll, September 4-8, 2015 Very serious threat, 49% 82% Believe Russia Represents a Very or Moderately Serious Threat to the United States PAGE 12


Слайд 12

ISIS


Слайд 13

MAJORITIES OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THE U.S. IS LOSING THE FIGHT A G A I N S T I S I S A N D T H AT T H I N G S A R E G O I N G B A D LY I N I R A Q & S Y R I A FOR THE U.S. Do you think the United States and its allies are winning or losing the fight against ISIS? 66% In general, how would you say things are going for the U.S. in its military action against ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria – very well, moderately well, moderately badly, or very badly? Total 67% Very, 31% Total 31% Note: Unsure results not shown Moderately, 27% 16% Winning Source: Quinnipiac Poll, Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2015 Very, 4% Losing Well Source: CNN/ORC Poll, October 14-17, 2015 Moderately, 36% Badly PAGE 14


Слайд 14

S E V E N I N T E N A M E R IC ANS T H I N K T H E P R E SI DEN T D O E S N O T H AV E A C L E A R P L A N F O R D E A L IN G W I T H I S I S Do you think Barack Obama does or does not have a clear plan for dealing with ISIS? 71% 27% 2% Yes, has a clear strategy Source: CNN/ORC Poll, October 14-17, 2015 No, does not have a clear strategy No opinion PAGE 15


Слайд 15

A M E R IC ANS S U P P ORT A I R S T R I K ES A G A I NST I S I S R AT H ER T H A N S E N DI NG I N G R O U ND T R O OP S Air strikes Do you support or oppose U.S. air strikes in Iraq and Syria against ISIS? Do you support or oppose sending U.S. ground troops to fight ISIS? 64% 61% 88% 59% 53% 35% 26% Total Source: YouGov Poll, September 30 – October 1, 2015 Ground troops Democrats 28% Independents Republicans PAGE 16


Слайд 16

M A J O R I T Y O F A M E R I C A N S A R E A T L E A S T S O M E W H AT W O R R I E D T H A T M I L I TA R Y A C T I O N A G A I N S T I S I S W I L L L E A D T O A L A R G E R WA R How worried are you that the military action against ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria will develop into a larger war that could spread throughout the region and other parts of the world? Would you say you are very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not worried at all? Source: CNN/ORC Poll, October 14-17, 2015 Total worried: 76% PAGE 17


Слайд 17

IRAN


Слайд 18

M A J O R I T Y O F A M E R I C A NS T H I N K I R A N N U C L E A R D E A L W I L L M A K E T H E U N I T E D S TAT E S L E S S S A F E Do you think the agreement on Iran’s nuclear program will make the United States safer or less safe? Safer Less safe No different DK/NA 6% 13% 46% Democrats 16% 32% 26% 5% Safer Less safe 9% Independents 22% 59% 11% No different DK/NA 1% Republicans 10% 80% 9% 56% Source: FOX News Poll, September 20-22, 2015 PAGE 19


Слайд 19

S U P P ORT F O R I R A N N U C LE AR D E A L VA R I ES D E P E NDI NG O N H O W THE Q U E S TI ON I S A S K E D Source Support / Approve Oppose / Disapprove For reference: If you were in Congress and had to cast an up-or-down vote on the recent deal with Iran that lifts sanctions for ten years in exchange for Iran curtailing its pursuit of a nuclear program over that time period – would you approve or reject the deal? 31% 58% ABC News/ Washington Post Sep. 7-10 As you may know, the U.S. and other countries have announced a deal to lift economic sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran agreeing not to produce nuclear weapons. International inspectors would monitor Iran’s facilities, and if Iran is caught breaking the agreement economic sanctions would be imposed again. Do you support or oppose this agreement? (asked of half sample) 51% 41% ABC News/ Washington Post Sep. 7-10 As you may know, the U.S. and other countries have announced a deal to lift economic sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran agreeing not to produce nuclear weapons. Do you support or oppose this agreement?? (asked of half sample) 45% 44% CNN/ORC Sep. 4-8 Do you think Congress should approve or reject the deal with Iran? 47% 49% Pew Research Center Sep. 3-7 From what you know do you approve or disapprove of the recent agreement on Iran’s nuclear program between Iran, the United States and other nations? 21% 49% FOX News Oct. 10-12 Question Text PAGE 20


Слайд 20

A M A J O R I T Y O F A M E R I C A N S H A V E L I T T L E T O N O C O N F I D E N C E T H AT I R A N W I L L U P H O LD T H E T E R MS O F T H E A G R E EME NT How much confidence do you have that Iran’s leaders will uphold their side of the agreement? Unsure/Refused 9% None at all 43% Total with little to no confidence: 71% A great deal 2% A fair amount 18% Not too much 28% Source: Pew Research Center Poll, September 3-7, 2015 PAGE 21


Слайд 21

B U T A S M A L LE R M A J ORI TY O F A M E R ICA NS H AV E L I T T LE T O N O C O N F ID ENCE I N T H E U N I T E D S TATES’ A B I L I TY T O M O N I TOR I R A N How much confidence do you have in the U.S. and international agencies’ ability to monitor Iran’s compliance with the agreement? Unsure/Refused 7% None at all 24% Total with little to no confidence: 51% A great deal 12% Not too much 27% A fair amount 30% Source: Pew Research Center Poll, September 3-7, 2015 PAGE 22


Слайд 22

M A J O R I T Y O F A M E R I C A NS WA N T U . S . T O TA K E M I L I TA R Y A C T I O N A G A I N S T I R A N I F T H E A G R E E M E N T I S V I O L AT E D No opinion, 2% Should not take military action, 34% Source: CNN Poll, September 4-8,2015 Should take military action, 64% Suppose Iran violates its terms, if that happens, do you think the U.S. should or should not take military action against Iran? PAGE 23


Слайд 23

REFUGEE CRISIS


Слайд 24

M A J O RI TY O F A M E R I CAN S H AV E H E A R D A L O T A B O U T T H E R E F U GE E C R I SI S A N D A P L U R ALI TY O F A M E R ICA NS T H I NK T H E U . S . S H O U L D B E D O I N G M O R E T O A D D R E S S T H E S I T U AT I O N How much, if anything, have you heard about large numbers of migrants fleeing violence in Syria and other countries and entering Europe? In general, do you think the United States should be doing more, should be doing less, or is the U.S. doing about what it should to address the refugee situation? Source: Pew Research Center Poll, September 22-27, 2015 A lot, 55% More, 44% A little, 32% Less, 19% Nothing at all, 12% Doing what it should, 31% PAGE 25


Слайд 25

A N D A S L I G H T M A J ORI TY O F A M E R I CAN S A P P RO VE O F T H E U N I T E D S T AT E S ’ D E C I S I O N T O I N C R E A S E A C C E P TA N C E O F R E F U GE ES In order to help deal with this situation, the United States recently announced it will increase the number of refugees it accepts. All in all, do you approve or disapprove of this decision? Unsure, 4% 3% Republicans Disapprove, 45% Approve, 51% 30% 67% 5% Independents 51% 43% 2% Democrats 69% Approve Source: Pew Research Center, September 22-27, 2015 29% Disapprove Unsure PAGE 26


Слайд 26

B U T A L M O S T A Q U A R T E R O F A M E R I C A N S T H I N K W E S H O U L D TA K E I N NO ADDITIONAL SYRIAN REFUGEES Not sure, 3% Take none at all, 24% Take more, 21% Take fewer, 17% The Obama administration is recommending the United States take in at least ten thousand (10,000) Syrian refugees over the next year. Do you think the United States should – take in more refugees from Syria, take in fewer refugees from Syria – this is about the right amount, or should the United States take no Syrian refugees at all? Right amount, 35% Source: NBC/WSJ Survey, September 20-24, 2015 PAGE 27


Слайд 27

GPG Research G P G h a s a f u l l - s e rv i ce r e s e a rc h t e a m o f f e r i n g a f u l l c o m p l e me nt o f q u a l i t a t i ve a n d q u a n t i t at i ve p u b l i c o p i n i o n, a s w e l l a s d i g i t a l , r e s e a rc h s e r v i c e s . We u s e r e s e a r ch t o i n f o r m m e s s a g e d e v e l o pme nt a n d c o m m u ni c at i on s t r a t e gy , a s w e l l as to help clients assess and monitor critical issues and track the e f f e c t i v en es s o f s t r a t e g i c c o m m u ni c at i on c a m p a ig ns . G P G h a s e x t e n s i v e e x p e r i en ce c o n d u ct i ng r e s e a rc h o n c o m p l e x i s s u e s a n d p o l i t i c a l t o p i c s w i t h d i v e r s e a u d i e nc es . We g o b e y o n d t h e s t a n d a rd Q &A, u s i n g i n n o v a t i v e , p r o j e c ti v e t e c h n i q ue s t o u n c o v e r k e y i n s i g h t s. T h e r e s u l t i s a c t i o n a bl e r e s e a rc h t h a t h e l p s s h a p e o u r c l i e n t s ’ m e s s a g i ng a n d s t r a t e g y . For more information about this presentation or to find out more about GPG’s research capabilities contact: Jason Boxt (jboxt@gpg.com) 1025 F Street NW, 9th Floor Washington, DC 20004 121 East 24th Street, 10th Floor New York, NY 10010 202.337.0808 | GPG.COM


Слайд 28


×

HTML:





Ссылка: